Europe 2015: Separatist Rebellion

First Iraq collapsed. The Iraqi Shiites, embroiled in a bloody sectarian war against their Sunni neighbors, align themselves with the Iranian Ayatollahs featuring Hezbollah and their Syrian Alawites. The collapse of Iraq fractured the peace between Turkey and the Kurds, plunging Turkey into a bloody war against the Kurds. The Sunni and Shiite civil war exacerbates involvement by Iran on the side of the Shiites. The US, and by extension NATO, begin waging increasingly covert attacks against Shiite/Alawite interests in Syria, Iraq, and Iran. Saudi Arabia will continue to fuel Sunni fighters to Syria and Iraq, and possibly Iran. Turkey, forming part of NATO, is vilified by the Iranians, thus causing the Kurds to look for weapons and Iranian support.

The destabilization of Turkey further brings down the Greek and Cypriot economies. Some European states refuse to take part in NATO's affairs; especially the Greeks and Cypriots, considering their tense history with Turkey. Catalunya manages to secede from Spain, thus leading to more states withdrawing from NATO.

By 2015, European Union troops find themselves engaged in combat all along the perimeters of the increasingly militaristic union. A more powerful treaty – one dwarfing the Treaty of Lisbon – empowers the European parliament and president with emergency powers. The presidential emergency powers effectively erode national sovereignty, creating a European-wide superstate where nations cede power in order to overcome crisis.

Separatists groups increasingly see the European Union as a totalitarian oppressive government and further plunge the remaining Eurozone countries into turmoil and strife. Using the power of the internet, the separatist states wage sophisticated and coordinated strikes that further force the European Union to deploy drones across the continent. The lives of many millions are uprooted.